#prediction markets

On March 12, 2025, 44 state attorneys general signed a joint letter opposing...

The chart didn't spike. No green candle. No panic selling — yet. But the sign...

The probability of a 14-day ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict dropped...

Gas on fire. Code on fire. Over the past 30 days, the blockchain gas usage on...

We audited the silence between the lines of a comment letter filed with the...

Yesterday, Polymarket’s contract on ‘Iranian regime change by end of 2026’...

The odds landed at 26.5% — a number that should make any market watcher pause...

The date of the announcement is irrelevant; what matters is the absence of...

A 70% probability of winning MVP. That number, whispered across sports desks...

The carpet in the Rayburn House Office Building is a dull beige, worn thin by...

Tracing the gas leak where logic bled into code: A prediction market shows a...

The paradox of transparency in a cashless society reveals itself most acutely...

Hook: A Signal in the Noise, Not Just a Data Point The block confirmation hit...

The probability stands at 73.5%. A prediction market on PolyMarket, calibrate...

Here is the data: $164 million. One day. One ETF. One asset manager....

The block confirms what the eyes missed. A single data point landed on my...

28.5%. Then 43.5%. In two weeks, the crowd's fear doubled. The contract: 'Wil...

A prediction market is pricing a 46.5% chance that Iran closes its airspace b...

The blockchain remembers every step; do you? A single number flashed across t...

A single number—30%—is the most dangerous data point in the Middle East. On...

The number landed like a sniper's round. 45.5%. That's the probability the...

The S&P Global index committee made a decision. Bitcoin and XRP are out. The...

The 72.5% probability on a decentralized prediction market is not a reflectio...

On April 4, 2025, a single data point sliced through the noise of an unverifi...

Hook The number sits on Polymarket’s USDC-denominated contract: "Iran...

Hook When the New York City mayor publicly urged the arrest of Benjamin...

Brent crude just breached $100 for the first time since 2022. The headlines...

The probability of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting in the near term sits at 0.1%...

The data suggests the Clarity Act's passage probability sits at 47.5%—a numbe...

A 41.5% probability is not confidence. It is the market’s polite way of sayin...

On Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralised prediction market, the...

In the quiet hours before dawn, a convoy of black SUVs rolled onto the tarmac...

A single data point from Polymarket is cutting through the noise: a 5.5%...

Market prices are merely delayed narratives, but prediction markets offer a...

The market is pricing a 53% probability of a geopolitical event that may neve...

Over the past 24 hours, Polymarket's World Cup final contract recorded a 12%...

Look at the silence between the 72% and the 27.5%. That gap is not just a...

While the market sleeps, the ledger does not lie. But this time, the ledger i...

The blockchain doesn’t lie—but it does whisper in frequencies most ears can’t...

Hook Six months ago, a $160 million market on Zelensky’s re-election was...

The Hook The Polymarket contract reads: "Will Trump publicly blame China for...

Soccer fans scrolling through Crypto Briefing last week got a surprise: a...

In the quiet hum of a server room in Melbourne, I once traced the ghost in th...

The news hit my terminal at 6:47 AM Toronto time. Coinbase, the publicly trad...

Silence speaks louder than charts. On a quiet Tuesday, Judge Torres delivered...

You think a free grocery bag is a marketing gimmick. The truth is, it's an...

Polymarket's MSI 2026 contract just saw $12.3 million in volume in the first ...

The charts blinked. Brazil vs. Norway — a group-stage match that shouldn't ha...

On a sweltering July evening in Riyadh, the Esports World Cup (ESWC) witnesse...

Hook Bilibili Gaming’s undefeated streak through the 2025 Spring Split on the...